Hard vs Grödig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
REI
1 - 2
HAR
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
HAR
3 - 1
ROT
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
FCH
2 - 0
HAR
19%
21%
60%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
HAR
0 - 1
AXG
76%
16%
9%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
SEE
3 - 1
HAR
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
GRO
2 - 3
RBJ
33%
25%
43%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
HAL
0 - 2
GRO
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
GRO
4 - 2
HOH
79%
15%
7%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
AUS
0 - 4
GRO
11%
20%
69%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
WAT
2 - 0
GRO
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |