Hard vs FC Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
53.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NEN
4 - 0
HAR
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HAR
3 - 0
BIZ
50%
22%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
AND
4 - 1
HAR
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 0
LUD
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MEI
3 - 3
HAR
11%
16%
73%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LUS
3 - 3
FCH
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LOC
2 - 7
LUS
46%
21%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 1
ALB
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SCG
3 - 2
LUS
15%
17%
68%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 1
FCH
88%
9%
4%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |