Hard vs Egg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
19.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
13º
9º
50
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 0
EGG
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LAU
2 - 0
HAR
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
HAR
4 - 2
SCG
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 2
HAR
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 0
RTB
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Egg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 0
EGG
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
EGG
3 - 0
FCH
71%
15%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
LUS
4 - 5
EGG
67%
18%
16%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
EGG
0 - 1
AND
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 2
EGG
54%
22%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |