Hard Rock vs Paradise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard Rock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MRI
1 - 2
HAR
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GFC
1 - 2
HAR
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
JOH
1 - 0
HAR
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 1
BJP
55%
20%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paradise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
JOH
3 - 3
PAR
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
BJP
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 2
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
FON
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 3
PAR
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |