Hard Rock vs Gouyave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard Rock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
4 - 1
MRI
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 0
CHA
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 3
FON
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
4 - 0
HAR
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
QPR
1 - 1
HAR
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gouyave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
GFC
3 - 0
FON
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BJP
3 - 1
GFC
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
GFC
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
JOH
3 - 0
GFC
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
PAR
4 - 3
GFC
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |