Harburger TB vs Ahrensburger TSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+153%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harburger TB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CON
7 - 0
HTB
71%
15%
14%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
HTB
0 - 6
HTH
70%
16%
14%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
HTB
1 - 0
SVA
18%
17%
65%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VIE
4 - 0
HTB
32%
22%
47%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
HTB
1 - 1
CUR
31%
20%
49%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ahrensburger TSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ATS
3 - 3
VIE
21%
19%
59%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CUR
2 - 4
ATS
93%
5%
2%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VOW
8 - 0
ATS
95%
4%
1%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LOH
0 - 1
ATS
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ATS
2 - 3
OST
6%
12%
83%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |