Harbour View vs Dunbeholden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
14º
11º
37
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
93 | 93 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 75 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 58 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harbour View
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
HAR
0 - 1
WAT
21%
27%
52%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
POR
4 - 0
HAR
57%
26%
17%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
HAR
1 - 1
LIO
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MOL
3 - 1
HAR
48%
24%
29%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 1
MON
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
DFC
1 - 1
VER
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TRI
2 - 0
DFC
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
DFC
0 - 2
CAV
35%
26%
40%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MPA
4 - 0
DFC
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
DFC
2 - 2
RUF
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 15 | 49 | 0 |