Harbour View vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harbour View
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 1
AUN
78%
16%
6%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
HAR
3 - 0
CAV
49%
29%
23%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 2
HAR
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 0
AUG
59%
25%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
MON
3 - 0
HAR
45%
28%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
AUN
2 - 0
DEF
12%
17%
72%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
POI
0 - 1
DEF
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 2
DEF
43%
25%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
3 - 2
DEF
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEF
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |