Harbour View vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
22.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harbour View
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 2
HAR
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 0
AUG
59%
25%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
MON
3 - 0
HAR
45%
28%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 3
WAT
42%
31%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
LIO
1 - 0
HAR
28%
30%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAV
1 - 1
WAT
38%
31%
31%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
LIO
1 - 1
CAV
41%
30%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
MON
3 - 2
CAV
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
CAV
3 - 1
TRI
41%
30%
30%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BOY
2 - 0
CAV
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |