Harar Birra vs Kedus St George analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harar Birra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ADK
0 - 2
HAR
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 1
MUC
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
SIB
1 - 1
HAR
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2011 |
DED
1 - 0
HAR
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 1
AYE
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kedus St George
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
KGI
2 - 1
DED
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
KGI
0 - 0
AWK
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2011 |
AMK
0 - 1
KGI
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
KGI
2 - 0
ETB
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
DIR
1 - 0
KGI
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |