Harar Birra vs Ethio Electric analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harar Birra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
KGI
2 - 1
HAR
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 0
ADK
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 3
MUC
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 0
SIB
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 1
DED
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ethio Electric
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
MEH
0 - 1
DED
51%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
AYE
3 - 2
MEH
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
MEH
4 - 1
AWK
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
AMK
0 - 1
MEH
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MEH
1 - 0
ETB
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |