Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Beitar Haifa Jacob analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
10º
3º
29
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
88.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 51.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 48% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
MAF
1 - 3
HBM
29%
22%
49%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
HBM
1 - 0
MTH
45%
22%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
TUA
2 - 0
HBM
28%
22%
50%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
HBM
2 - 1
IBK
57%
20%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ARE
0 - 3
HBM
14%
18%
68%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Beitar Haifa Jacob
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
BHJ
1 - 2
MAI
25%
22%
54%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
HSG
1 - 3
BHJ
56%
20%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
BHJ
2 - 4
HBS
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
MSP
3 - 0
BHJ
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
MAF
4 - 0
BHJ
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |