Hapoel Bnei Fureidis vs Ihud Bnei Baka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
14º
11º
31
4º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
88.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Bnei Fureidis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
MNS
2 - 0
HBF
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
MSP
2 - 3
HBF
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
HBF
1 - 0
HTH
60%
20%
21%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
HBM
1 - 0
HBF
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
HBF
1 - 0
MAI
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Ihud Bnei Baka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
IBB
1 - 4
HTH
45%
23%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
HBM
2 - 0
IBB
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
IBB
0 - 4
MAI
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
IBB
3 - 0
HSG
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
IBB
2 - 1
HBS
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |