Hapoel Bnei Ar'ara 'Ara vs Tzeirei Umm Al-Fahm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
16º
7º
72
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
88.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Bnei Ar'ara 'Ara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
HBA
0 - 2
HBM
25%
21%
53%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
HBA
4 - 7
HKK
19%
20%
61%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
HAP
4 - 2
HBA
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
HBA
1 - 3
TIR
13%
21%
66%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
HBA
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Tzeirei Umm Al-Fahm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
TUA
0 - 4
HBM
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
HTH
3 - 0
TUA
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
IBB
4 - 3
TUA
37%
22%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
TUA
0 - 2
MNA
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
BHJ
2 - 1
TUA
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |