Hapoel Bnei Ar'ara 'Ara vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
69%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
16º
7º
30
6º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
88.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 46.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Bnei Ar'ara 'Ara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HBM
4 - 0
HBA
78%
14%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
HBA
0 - 2
MAI
24%
22%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
HSG
1 - 3
HBA
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HBA
0 - 1
HBS
20%
21%
58%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BHJ
3 - 3
HBA
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HTH
2 - 1
IBB
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
MNS
1 - 2
HTH
37%
23%
41%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
HTH
0 - 0
HBF
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
HTH
3 - 0
MSP
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
HBM
2 - 1
HTH
38%
23%
39%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |