Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 2
HBS
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
DNM
0 - 1
HBS
32%
28%
41%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
HBS
2 - 1
DNM
55%
24%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
HBS
49%
23%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
CRA
2 - 1
HBS
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 2
HBS
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 4
LUG
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
GCZ
2 - 1
LUG
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
LUG
2 - 3
SIO
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |