Hansa Rostock II vs Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
48.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
3º
10º
4º
66
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
67.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hansa Rostock II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TUM
3 - 3
HAN
30%
23%
47%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HAN
4 - 0
GWA
74%
15%
11%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PRE
2 - 1
HAN
48%
23%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 1
BAK
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ANK
0 - 3
HAN
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LIC
2 - 1
NEU
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 4
LIC
6%
14%
80%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
SVS
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SCS
0 - 2
LIC
8%
15%
77%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LIC
2 - 2
MAH
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |