Hannover 96 vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
HOF
0 - 0
HAN
43%
26%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
KAI
1 - 1
HAN
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2011 |
HAN
3 - 1
VOR
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
HAN
0 - 0
LEV
27%
24%
49%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SCF
1 - 1
HAN
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FCN
2 - 0
HER
38%
27%
36%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
FCN
4 - 1
GRA
67%
21%
13%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
FCN
0 - 1
SGF
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LEV
0 - 3
FCN
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
FCN
0 - 2
HOF
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |