Hannover 96 vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SGF
4 - 1
HAN
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
HAN
3 - 0
F95
33%
24%
43%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PAD
1 - 0
HAN
34%
23%
43%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
FCU
4 - 1
HAN
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
HAN
4 - 1
EBT
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ERZ
1 - 1
HOL
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
BOC
2 - 0
ERZ
50%
24%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
HSV
3 - 0
ERZ
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HEI
33%
27%
41%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
ERZ
1 - 1
SGF
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |