Copa de Ferias 1/32
Global 2-4
Hannover 96 vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1969 |
HAN
3 - 1
MUN
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1969 |
MSV
1 - 0
HAN
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1969 |
HAN
3 - 2
BRE
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1969 |
EBT
1 - 1
HAN
51%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1969 |
HAN
4 - 2
BVB
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
AZA
0 - 1
AJA
14%
18%
67%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
NEC
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
SPA
2 - 4
AJA
24%
26%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 0
GAE
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
GRO
1 - 3
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |