Hannan University vs Sagawa Shiga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
74.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagawa Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 1
TOC
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
JEF
3 - 1
SAG
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
MAT
1 - 2
SAG
35%
27%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 1
BLA
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
ZWE
0 - 2
SAG
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |