Hankook Verdes vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
5º
1º
23
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 29 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hankook Verdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 2
HAN
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
HAN
4 - 0
WAG
75%
16%
10%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HAN
0 - 0
BDC
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
HAN
5 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 0
ALT
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
WAG
0 - 8
PRO
16%
20%
65%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
BEL
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PRO
3 - 0
BDC
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 2
PRO
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PRO
0 - 0
SPP
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |