Haninge vs IF Karlstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
9º
6º
27
1º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
28 | 58 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 57 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 54 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 48 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 43 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 35 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 6% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4.5% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haninge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ORE
1 - 3
HAN
28%
25%
48%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
HAN
5 - 1
VAS
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
ENK
0 - 0
HAN
24%
22%
54%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
HTF
1 - 0
HAN
51%
22%
28%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ASS
3 - 1
HAN
59%
20%
21%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
IF Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
KAR
0 - 1
STO
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
KAR
1 - 1
ASS
63%
19%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
THO
1 - 4
KAR
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ORE
2 - 2
KAR
60%
21%
18%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
KAR
3 - 1
TRO
49%
22%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |