Haninge vs Gefle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
9º
6º
14
8º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
28 | 58 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 57 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 54 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 48 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 43 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
14 | 35 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haninge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
IFS
3 - 2
HAN
26%
23%
51%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
HAN
0 - 2
KAL
62%
21%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
HAN
2 - 1
FCA
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
STO
1 - 2
HAN
58%
22%
19%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
HAN
2 - 1
KAR
53%
23%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
KAL
0 - 1
GEF
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
GEF
2 - 2
AFC
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 2
IFS
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SOL
0 - 1
GEF
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 2
VAS
38%
25%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |