Hang Sai vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
65.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hang Sai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
HSA
4 - 1
WAK
22%
17%
61%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
HSA
2 - 1
MAC
65%
17%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
CDT
5 - 2
HSA
45%
21%
35%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
HSA
3 - 0
BEN
4%
10%
86%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | +9 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
PSP
1 - 3
HSA
21%
19%
61%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
CPK
3 - 2
MCA
70%
16%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
SMA
3 - 3
MCA
23%
22%
55%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
WAK
0 - 2
MCA
28%
22%
50%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
MCA
5 - 1
MAC
86%
9%
5%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
PSP
0 - 3
MCA
4%
9%
87%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |