Hamrun Spartans vs Valletta FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
66.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
MOS
4 - 1
HAM
54%
23%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
HAM
1 - 1
TAR
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
FLO
1 - 1
HAM
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
HAM
2 - 2
BAL
49%
24%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
HIB
2 - 1
HAM
83%
11%
6%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Valletta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 5
VAL
21%
25%
55%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 0
QOR
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MOS
1 - 3
VAL
18%
23%
60%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
TAR
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
HIB
37%
23%
40%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |