Hamrun Spartans vs Msida St Joseph analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SGC
0 - 2
HAM
66%
19%
16%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
HAM
1 - 4
GZI
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GUD
1 - 0
HAM
59%
21%
21%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HAM
2 - 1
ZEB
26%
22%
52%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BIR
4 - 0
HAM
49%
22%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Msida St Joseph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MSI
2 - 2
LIJ
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
MSI
2 - 0
SGC
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GZI
0 - 2
MSI
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MSI
0 - 3
GUD
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ZEB
2 - 3
MSI
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |