Hamrun Spartans vs Msida St Joseph analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
HAM
2 - 1
DIN
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
FLO
1 - 0
HAM
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
HAM
5 - 2
SLI
33%
23%
43%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
MSI
3 - 5
HAM
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
DIN
0 - 6
HAM
26%
23%
51%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Msida St Joseph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
MSI
1 - 1
FLO
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
DIN
5 - 2
MSI
44%
24%
31%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
MSI
3 - 5
HAM
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FLO
2 - 1
MSI
59%
23%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
MSI
3 - 2
DIN
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |