Hamrun Spartans vs Msida St Joseph analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
HAM
2 - 3
MAR
23%
20%
57%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BIR
3 - 2
HAM
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
HAM
0 - 4
TAR
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
HIB
1 - 0
HAM
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
HAM
4 - 3
MAR
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Msida St Joseph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
MSI
0 - 2
VAL
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
QOR
0 - 1
MSI
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
FLO
0 - 1
MSI
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
MSI
2 - 2
BIR
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TAR
0 - 2
MSI
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |