Hamrun Spartans vs Mqabba FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
HIB
5 - 0
HAM
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 3
HAM
69%
18%
14%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
HAM
2 - 2
MOS
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
QOR
3 - 0
HAM
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
HAM
3 - 1
DIN
71%
16%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mqabba FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MQA
1 - 1
TAR
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 1
MQA
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
MQA
2 - 2
BAL
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MQA
2 - 4
SLI
22%
23%
55%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
BIR
1 - 0
MQA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |