Hamrun Spartans vs Marsaxlokk FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SLI
1 - 0
HAM
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BIR
3 - 2
HAM
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 2
HIB
40%
26%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
NAX
0 - 6
HAM
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
HAM
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NAX
0 - 0
MAR
38%
26%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
FLO
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ZAB
1 - 3
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
BAL
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 4
MOS
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |