Hamrun Spartans vs Marsaxlokk FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
24.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 4
HAM
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 1
VAL
48%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SLI
0 - 0
HAM
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 0
SIR
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GUD
0 - 4
HAM
17%
24%
60%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
BIR
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
MOS
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 2
MAR
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
SLI
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SIR
1 - 1
MAR
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |