Hamrun Spartans vs Marsaxlokk FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
1º
25
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 0
PIE
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 4
HAM
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
HAM
3 - 3
PAR
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 1
HAM
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
LSO
1 - 2
HAM
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
GZI
0 - 0
MAR
73%
18%
10%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 4
MOS
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
BIR
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUD
45%
23%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
VAL
31%
24%
46%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |