Hamrun Spartans vs Marsaxlokk FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
SLI
1 - 1
HAM
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
HAM
0 - 2
MQA
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
HIB
5 - 0
HAM
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 3
HAM
69%
18%
14%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
HAM
2 - 2
MOS
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
TAR
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
5 - 2
MAR
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
BAL
39%
26%
36%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 5
PIE
54%
21%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
BIR
1 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |