Hamrun Spartans vs Marsaxlokk FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
HAM
1 - 4
TAR
44%
24%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FLO
2 - 0
HAM
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
HAM
1 - 1
BIR
30%
25%
46%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
HAM
1 - 1
VAL
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 3
HAM
39%
25%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 4
BIR
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
TAR
0 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
MAR
65%
20%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 0
FLO
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
QOR
2 - 2
MAR
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |