Hamrun Spartans vs Marsaxlokk FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
56.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BIR
3 - 2
HAM
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
HAM
0 - 4
TAR
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
HIB
1 - 0
HAM
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
HAM
4 - 3
MAR
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
SLI
0 - 3
HAM
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
HIB
4 - 1
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
FLO
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
SLI
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
HAM
4 - 3
MAR
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 1
VAL
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |