Hamrun Spartans vs Marsa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DIN
0 - 2
HAM
27%
23%
51%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
HAM
4 - 0
SIG
86%
9%
5%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SWI
0 - 3
HAM
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
HAM
4 - 2
SAN
47%
22%
31%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HAM
3 - 2
LIJ
40%
23%
36%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Marsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 2
MEL
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SEN
1 - 2
MAR
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
XGH
22%
23%
55%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | +3 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 3
MAR
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -2 |