Hamrun Spartans vs Birzebbuga St. Peters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ZUR
1 - 3
HAM
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
HAM
0 - 1
PIE
19%
21%
60%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
PIE
3 - 1
HAM
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
HAM
0 - 2
MEL
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAI
2 - 1
HAM
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Birzebbuga St. Peters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 0
MSI
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 0
MSI
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
SGC
2 - 0
BIR
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BIR
3 - 1
GZI
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
GUD
2 - 1
BIR
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |