Hamrun Spartans vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
FLO
0 - 0
HAM
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
HIB
1 - 2
HAM
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
HAM
5 - 0
SWI
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 6
HAM
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
HIB
0 - 3
HAM
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BIR
1 - 1
MEL
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BIR
2 - 2
GZI
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BIR
2 - 1
BAL
43%
24%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
BIR
5 - 2
BAL
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BIR
0 - 1
FLO
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |