Hamrun Spartans vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
45.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
HAM
1 - 1
VAL
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 3
HAM
39%
25%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
HAM
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
HAM
2 - 3
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
BIR
2 - 0
HAM
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
TAR
1 - 3
BIR
40%
25%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
TAR
0 - 0
BIR
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BIR
1 - 4
QOR
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 1
BIR
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
BIR
2 - 0
HAM
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |