Hammer SpVg vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammer SpVg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
ABI
1 - 0
HAM
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
ESS
1 - 2
HAM
57%
22%
22%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
HAM
3 - 3
KLE
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
BSC
4 - 1
HAM
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
HAM
5 - 2
DSC
66%
20%
15%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
KÖL
1 - 2
WIE
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
KÖL
0 - 0
SPE
79%
15%
7%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
SPR
0 - 1
KÖL
12%
19%
70%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
KÖL
3 - 1
GEW
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
WHE
2 - 3
KÖL
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |