Hammarby IF vs Mjällby AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
13º
7º
41
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 0
HIF
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MFF
4 - 2
HIF
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HIF
2 - 0
VAR
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
AIK
2 - 0
HIF
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
HÄC
3 - 1
HIF
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mjällby AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
MJÄ
0 - 0
AIK
32%
26%
41%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MJÄ
0 - 1
ELF
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
BRO
2 - 0
MJÄ
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MJÄ
2 - 0
DEG
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
IFK
0 - 1
MJÄ
27%
28%
45%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |