Hammarby IF vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
4º
2º
32
3º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 61 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 57 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 51 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 50 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 47 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 41 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 40 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 20 |
16º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
21.5% | 6% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
47.5% | 36.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
31% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
MJÄ
3 - 1
HIF
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
HIF
2 - 0
DJU
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
BRO
0 - 2
HIF
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
HIF
4 - 0
GÖT
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HJK
0 - 3
HIF
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
MFF
1 - 1
SIR
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
AIK
0 - 0
MFF
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
MFF
2 - 1
ELF
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
DJU
0 - 1
MFF
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MFF
3 - 2
GÖT
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -2 |