Hammarby IF vs IFK Varnamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
11º
2º
31
9º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
HIF
2 - 1
VAS
64%
21%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 1
HIF
28%
28%
44%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HÄC
2 - 1
HIF
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
HIF
3 - 0
ELF
47%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MFF
2 - 0
HIF
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 3
HAL
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
AIK
2 - 0
IFK
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 1
IFK
52%
23%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 4
MFF
28%
26%
47%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 2
GAI
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |