Hammarby IF vs IFK Norrköping analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
4º
2º
19
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 61 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 51 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 50 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 40 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 34 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
26.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
55.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
OIF
0 - 3
HIF
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
HÄC
1 - 1
HIF
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
HIF
2 - 0
MFF
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
MJÄ
3 - 1
HIF
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
HIF
2 - 0
DJU
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Norrköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
NOR
0 - 2
HÄC
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 3
NOR
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
NOR
2 - 3
GÖT
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
NOR
3 - 0
HAL
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ELF
2 - 0
NOR
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |