Hammarby IF vs IFK Göteborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
4º
2º
25
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 61 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 51 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 50 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 40 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 34 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
26.5% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
55.5% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
18% | 93% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HJK
0 - 3
HIF
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
IKB
0 - 1
HIF
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
HIF
4 - 0
SIR
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
GÖT
4 - 0
HIF
38%
27%
36%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
HIF
2 - 1
KAL
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
IFK Göteborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
GÖT
2 - 0
IFK
69%
19%
11%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
UTS
1 - 4
GÖT
20%
21%
59%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MFF
3 - 2
GÖT
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
GÖT
4 - 0
HIF
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
DJU
3 - 4
GÖT
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |