Hamm United FC vs Curslack-Neuengamme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
18º
16º
23
1º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
21.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
78.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamm United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
THA
2 - 2
HAM
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HEB
2 - 0
HAM
70%
17%
14%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 5
SUD
27%
21%
51%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
RUG
0 - 3
HAM
62%
20%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 3
VHG
15%
18%
68%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Curslack-Neuengamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CUR
3 - 3
OSD
37%
22%
42%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CUR
0 - 2
ALT
23%
21%
55%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UTO
2 - 1
CUR
54%
20%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
THA
3 - 3
CUR
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CUR
2 - 2
HEB
33%
22%
46%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |