HamKam vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
14º
13º
22
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 59 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 52 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 46 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 40 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 22 |
15º
|
77% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 11 |
16º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 83% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HamKam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
HAU
0 - 3
HAM
28%
27%
46%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
HAM
1 - 1
FFK
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
RBK
2 - 0
HAM
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
HAM
1 - 1
BBS
22%
24%
54%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
BRY
1 - 1
HAM
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SDF
3 - 2
S08
35%
24%
41%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
S08
2 - 2
RBK
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
KRI
0 - 0
S08
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
S08
1 - 0
VKG
39%
23%
38%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
S08
3 - 1
HAU
67%
21%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |