HamKam vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
16º
11º
41
2º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HamKam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 1
HAM
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HAM
4 - 4
BOG
13%
20%
67%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 0
RBK
17%
23%
60%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ELP
0 - 2
HAM
37%
25%
37%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 2
BBS
17%
22%
62%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
S08
3 - 1
LSK
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BBS
1 - 0
S08
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
S08
4 - 0
TRO
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ODD
0 - 3
S08
40%
26%
35%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
S08
1 - 2
STR
53%
24%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |