HamKam II vs Moelven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HamKam II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
SIL
3 - 4
HAM
46%
22%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
HAM
2 - 4
RFK
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LIL
2 - 2
HAM
85%
9%
6%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
HAM
2 - 2
SVE
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
HAM
5 - 1
TIL
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Moelven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
MIL
0 - 0
RAU
33%
23%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
SFO
1 - 4
MIL
82%
11%
7%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SIL
3 - 1
MIL
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 2
TIL
8%
15%
77%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
HAM
2 - 0
MIL
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |